Friday, January 25, 2013
Trentham Pick 6 26 January
It doesn't get any easier. Anyone getting a piece of the jackpot will deserve it.
Leg 1: Find it difficult to separate the first four, who rate clearly ahead of the remainder. Soriano disappointed me at little at Auckland; I thought the tracks would be to her liking. In saying that there is no Fix today although she likely strikes a very firm track which I suspect she is vulnerable on. High Fashion, who can really let down, is the emerging horse and deserves consideration. Omana maybe the blowout but her lack of experience will count against her.
Leg 2: Probably perceived as the toughest leg by a lot of punters although some of the better fancied runners may struggle to get a genuine 2400m at Trentham. The race maps to have some speed so Don Domingo and Phantom Storm are proven stayers, well weighted and need to go in. Lady Platinum is an improving type who has a good preparation and Our Milly Smith should run the trip although she is weighted poorly. Monachee was competitive in a better field on Monday and whacks away at the one pace; she is the blowout.
Leg 3: Viadana, Nashville and Miss Pelear are clearly on top here. Viadana always runs time and although beaten into tenth at her latest effort, it was meritorious given the passage she received and my only concern is that it may have knocked her. Full Of Spirit had a lot more in her favour than Viadana and Miss Pelear at Ellerslie last start and is unlikely to get the same breaks this time with the draws. Historian is the unknown: a class act as a three-year-old before going to Hong Kong, he's had no real luck since been home and is the blowout.
Leg 4: A good horse's race this, often won by something carrying plenty of weight. You can feel comfortable enough with just Classcoroc and Patrimonium on a ticket. The former is not badly weighted for a last start winner in Open company while Patrimonium won a particularly strong race more comfortably than the margin suggests at her last start. The Irish bred mare's coat is acclimatising all the time and her raceday efforts substantiate that. Zumba and Moneytree deserve consideration.
Leg 5: Ransomed and O'Fille are clearly on top. Ransomed looked in need of the run in the Marton Cup and the race was not run to suit, yet still won. He is one of the most improved horses in training but continues to step up each time he goes to the races. O'Fille seems to be the horse that has beaten the handicapper, often a great pointer in the big Cup races, and with the Trentham Stakes usually such a good guide, only bad luck stops her figuring in the finish.
Leg 6: I confess to not knowing much about the formlines here. Workingclass is one I have followed and form in a strong Saturday Rating 65 field warrants her consideration. La Clairette and Aloe go in more on pedigree than anything else. I clearly need to do some more study.
A cheaper ticket option maybe: Lucky Country, Lovetessa and High Fashion/Don Domingo and Phantom Storm/Viadana, Nashville and Miss Pelear/Classcoroc and Patrimonium/Ransommed and O'Fille/Workingclass, La Clairette and Aloe.
Best of luck.
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