Timeforms top ratings over the years they ve existed, which is about 50 I think, are;
Brigader Gerard 144
Mill Reef 141
Sea The Stars 140
Dubai Millennium 140
Dancing Brave 140
Shergar 140
I was in the UK in 2002 and saw Rock of Gibralter who I think ended with a Timeform rating of "only" 135. I still consider him the best horse I ve seen in the flesh. How good must the Brigader or little Mill Reef have been.
Despite the best analysis, ratings are still subjective and given the variables, particularly track conditions, it must be difficult to line up horses from generation to generation, let alone from race to race.
Still over the years Timeform have developed a reputation for their objectivity and accuracy.
I ve seen a couple of new rating systems spring up over the last year or two which attempt to take a more global look at performance.
It would be an extremely useful tool for breeders and bloodstock buyers if a thoroughly global ratings system existed. Of course it would be too much to ask that it was as comprehensive a job as Timeform do of the UK form but even if it concentrated on stakes racing it would be decidely beneficial.
It would need to be less clynical than the NZ Free Handicap which I've often struggled with. Can someone explain to me how a horse who wins a four horse Listed two-year-old race on a wet track at Wingatui can be rated above a place getter in a competitive Matamata Breeders Stakes? Believe me it happens.
The English seem to do impartiality well - remember Chamberlain - so my vote would go to Timeform to manage a global system.
Just looking at those ratings, what a year 1971 must have been in the UK for racing fans.
The three year old crop featured Brigader Gerrad, Mill Reef, My Swallow ( who rated 138 I recall) and the french colt Caro.
Not too many would argue Timeform got those ratings right.
Speaking of three-year-old crops, this seasons in NZ is shaping up nicely. The HB Guineas could be the highlight of Kelt Day.
But how good is the Australian crop? I wondered if I d see a better vintage than the 99/00 season which contained the likes of Redoutes Choice, Testa Rosa, Commands, Align, Pins and Diatribe.
Denman, Trusting, More Than Great, Black Caviar, Shoot Out, Manhatten Rain and So You Think are a pretty good starting point, but time will tell. It maybe a good opportunity for a pro active studmaster to strike.
Pity Real Saga was retired. I wonder how Timeform would assess Denman?
I agree with the Australian crop thoughts? It seems at this stage to be a very good group. You wonder how good a horse like Denman will become?? He is with a great trainer, that has learnt a great deal of patience off his former boss.
ReplyDeleteKelt Day always dawns fine in HB. Counting down already?
I have a feeling he is out of the top drawer.
ReplyDeleteThis could be the key with his stock, John Hawkes has taken his time with O'Lohnro.
I guess you will be hanging on whom Sam will ride now?