Thursday, March 17, 2011

Savabeel: Finding his Calling

There were high expectations for Savabeel when he retired to Waikato Stud in 2005. A Cox Plate winner and group one placed at two, the son of Zabeel was seen in many quarters as the much awaited heir apparent to his champion sire.

While the emergence of Lohnro over the last two years has spared Savabeel the pressure of carrying the mantle of the Zabeel lineage, Savabeel's own results make for an interesting analysis, particularly when considering where they now position him in our stallion market and how they evaluate alongside the careers of two other Zabeel sire sons in Reset and Don Eduardo.

Given his pedigree breeders were always going to be slightly more forgiving than usual, however with his oldest progeny about to turn four at the conclusion of the 2009/10 season and just a solitary group winner on his resume in the form of the filly My Emotion, Savabeel's future was under intense scrutiny from breeders faced with any number of alternative options. The 2010 Karaka Sale rather told the story, when on the back of a booming market buyers deserted his progeny, with only passings halting a more significant average drop from the 2009 Sale.

Things begun looking up in November last year when his three-year-old fillies Lady Kipling and Placement ran third in group one races on either side of the Tasman respectively, and his son Digital Fortress ran a close fourth in the VRC Derby. Since then the winners haven't stopped and interestingly they haven't been confined to his oldest four-year-old progeny either with more Pattern performances from his three-year-olds highlighted by Do Ri Ma's victory in a strong rendition of the Group Two Kewney, and locally via a most promising two-year-old Savabill who capped some good form with a win in the Listed Fairview Ford Slipper at Matamata.

However it's two three-year-olds who have had their share of problems, one mental, the other physical, who could be well take Savabeel's profile to a new level over the next couple of months - more than likely at the Queensland Winter Carnival. Kudakulari, a horse rated highly by the Bart Cummings stable from day one, returned from a spell after been gelded, to win the Listed Canberra Guineas last week and Scarlett Lady, who had an operation for a bone chip after running fourth in the Royal Stakes, showed her class and staying potential with a storming finish to beat a strong field fresh-up at Ellerslie on Saturday.

To date there doesn't look to be any discernible affinity to particular broodmare bloodlines bringing success Savabeel's way but what is becoming apparent is the tendency for the physical makeup of his better progeny to be stronger and more robust than is the norm for his stock. Throwing more to his dam sire Success Express than Zabeel, Savabeel has largely stamped his progeny, leaving an athletic but lighter boned type - particularly beneath the knee - and without the strength, particularly through the girth, gaskin and crop of many of the better Zabeel's.

The clues lie in the dam sires of five of his six stakes winners: My Emotion (Rory's Jester); Do Ra Mi (Snippets); Kudakulari (O'Reilly); Savabill (Desert Sun) and Warrentherooster (Pompei Court). On type these five all exhibit considerably more of their dam sire and although in O'Reilly's case, he can leave a range of types, from personal inspection Kudakulari throws to the rangier and stronger group.

Don Eduardo who was the first of the Zabeel trio to retire to stud in 2003 has a stakeswinner to named foals (233) ratio of 3.4%; Reset, to stud a year later, just 2.5% from named foals and Savabeel to stud in 2005, also 3.4% from 179 named foals. While it's hardly a percentage in the league of his own sire (9.1%) or Redoutes Choice (7.9%), it's a figure which has the potential to appreciate over the next 12 months through the likes of Scarlett Lady, Placement, Digital Fortress, Dowager Queen, Mother's Milk and co.

With one of the strongest shareholding registers seen in a NZ stallion and the support of Waikato Stud, Savabeel has always had a level of support most studmasters only dream of. Testimony to that support was last season where for the first time Sababeel served less than 120 mares but still posted a more than respectable 85 services at a time when the knives were well and truly being sharpened.

Assessment: As a son of Zabeel, early expectations at stud were probably ill founded despite his Pattern form as a juvenile, although interestingly his improving record at stud is not necessarily supported by the form of his four-year-olds - Savabeel's oldest crop. Has served far superior quality books of mares to contemporary Don Eduardo and even allowing for his recent results, it's extremely hard to see how he can be warrant triple the service fee of the Haunui stallion. Somewhat of a cliche but the next six months will tell the story. Best results require careful broodmare selection especially as to type.

Thursday, March 3, 2011

Breeder's Great Run

This time two year ago Angela Williams was hoping for two scratchings in the New Zealand Derby so Carchelo (No Excuse Needed - Bellesinga), a horse she bred with her father Tom, could get a start. They didn't eventuate but this year Angela will be represented in the classic with Nippin ( Pins - Wait a Minute), a horse she bred in partnership with Waikato Stud, capping a wonderful month for the Auckland based breeder - who only breeds from 3 or 4 mares each season - that started with Goodview Successor ( O'Reilly - Zalass) winning in Hong Kong on 15 February.

A winner over 1600m from just six career starts, the Zabeel mare Zalass's second dam is the former high class racemare and increasingly influential taproot mare Sanderae who has foundered something of a dynasty in recent years with the likes of Roman Emperor, Black Mamba and Rios all descendants of the Oncidium mare. Zalass is a half sister to Switch Hitter, dam of the promising Melbourne three-year-old Absolutelyawesome.

Goodview Successor who was Zalass's first foal, has a year younger unraced three-year -old No Excuse Needed half brother in work with the Saunders at Te Awamutu, a retained two-year-old O'Reilly full brother in training at Awapuni and a weanling Towkay half brother who Williams intends to have prepared for next years Ready to Run Sale. Zalass is in foal to Nom Du Jeu.

Racecaller Dave McDonald summed up the finish of the Listed Southland Guineas on 19 February perfectly when he implied that the winners name Champagne Needed (No Excuse Needed - Bellesinga) would be needed in rather large quantities, and quite quickly by connections of the 52 to 1 winner. As the colts breeder and well capable of joining in a good party, Williams may not have been trackside to share in the celebrations but she had a toast or two at home to just the second stakeswinner she has bred - the first was Larry's Never Late (Pentire-Labeel) who she bred with her father Tom.

A most attractive mare by Danasinga, Bellesinga, who was a winner over 1600m and 2000m in 15 starts, came from a family extremely light on black type and it was only her ability to transmit her looks into her progeny that saw her second foal - Champagne Needed's full brother Carchelo - accepted into the 2007 Karaka Select catalogue, where he sold purely on type for $95,000. More workman like than his prettier older brother, but still a very nice type, Champagne Needed only made the Festival Sale in 2009 where he sold to his present trainer Shane Kennedy and Michael Wallace Bloodstock for $27,000.

Unfortunately Bellesinga died last year when in foal to No Excuse Needed. Williams has retained her first foal, an O'Reilly mare who she will send to the court of the new Little Avondale Stud stallion Per Incanto later this year, and Bellesinga's last foal an unbroken Scardee Cat two-year-old filly is currently on the market for private sale.

The jewel in William's broodmare band is clearly the dual race winning Centaine mare Wait A Minute whom Angela bred and raced. A full sister to the group one winning filly Sixty Seconds and group winner Spottswoode, this is the family of the 2007 NZ Broodmare of the year River Century and her sister Arletty - grand dam of this weekends New Zealand Derby second favourite He's Remarkable.

Nippin, Wait A Minute's first live foal, was a $210,000 purchase by Alan Sharrock from the Waikato Stud draft at the 2009 Karaka Premier Sale. His year younger half sister by Savabeel, bred in partnership with Little Avondale Stud and passed in at last years Karaka Premier Sale is likely to be leased for a racing campaign before a broodmare career for Williams and her cousin Sam Williams (owner and studmaster at LA). Wait A Minute has a weanling Pins colt and is in foal to O'Reilly.

The fourth member of Williams broodmare band the O'Reilly mare Maggie O'Reilly was purchased from the Waikato Stud draft at the 2009 Karaka Broodmare Sale for $6,000 in foal to No Excuse Needed. Unraced at that stage, Maggie O'Reilly's first foal a filly by No Excuse Needed has since made a promising start to her racing career from John Bary's stable as No Excuse Maggie, registering a win and two seconds, one of which was to Derby contestant On The Level, from just 4 starts.

Canterbury's Berkley Stud may well have got somewhat of a bargain when they bought No Excuse Maggie's full brother from Williams at last years National Weanling Sale for $2,000 with a view to re-offering him at this years South Island Sale. Maggie O'Reilly, who is empty and did not have a foal last year, is due to visit Per Incanto this year.

While it maybe expecting too much from Nippin to win this weekends New Zealand Derby, Williams has savoured the last month, coming as she does from a family stepped in breeding tradition and well versed in the ups and downs of breeding thoroughbreds. Regardless of Saturdays result Williams small band of broodmares look well capable of bringing her a lot more enjoyment over the next few years.

Wednesday, March 2, 2011

Karaka Observations

While the overall results can't disguise the sorry state of our domestic racing industry, at least Karaka 2011 showed that one's desire to find the next champion of the turf still burns as brightly as ever in Australia and some nations further afield despite the worldwide affliction of the largest global financial crisis since the Great Depression. Whichever way you look at it, racing horses is as bigger luxury item as you will find anywhere, yet Karaka held up remarkably well.

Some other thoughts:

- Maybe it's about time we reviewed our liking for jokes and jibes about our neighbours. At times Karaka resembled the mounting yard at Caulfield and about the only Australian's seemingly missing in the bar were Shane Warne and Paul Hogan, but just as they ve been a saviour in Christchurch, many local breeders will have felt the same way about their Karaka presence.

- How well would the High Chaparral's have sold if he had served a better quality of mare in 2008. Without the HC factor, a number of his yearlings were of Select Sale quality based on the mare, and some marginal at that, but he still finished fifth in the Premier averages.

- The only real offering of Sadlers Wells blood, outside of HC, came from five Gallant Guru yearlings who averaged a more than respectable $30,000. Especially if Montjeu's sire sons Authorised and Motivator can kick on from their promising starts at stud in the U.K, the debut next year by Nom Du Jeu could be very fruitful for those breeders who patronised the Fairdale stallion at his $6,000 service fee.

- The handful of yearlings by Dylan Thomas impressed with their lovely balance and good walks. Despite the stallion's staying profile he has met with pretty good acceptance worldwide to date and it will be fascinating to see how his progeny develop over the next couple of years. Can the son of Danehill follow Danehill Dancer and Invincible Spirit as successful sires from the Danzig/Sharpen Up cross.

- Not unexpectedly Darci Brahma suffered a little from the traditional second-season sire blues. The stallion himself only made his racetrack debut on the opening day of the 2004 Sale and from a Zabeel mare who never raced at two, the market may have expected a little too much of his progeny, however the post Sale performances of Chateauneuf Dupape and Rescue Mission will have heartened many breeders who have invested so heavily in the son of Danehill.

- While the spend by the HKJC was up considerably on last year, the expected Asian influence, especially from Hong Kong and Singapore didn't eventuate. I suspect that it may have something to do with the record of NZ breds this season in both jurisdictions, particularly the former where we haven't been as dominant as recent seasons on account of better performances from high profile Australian stallions such as Encosta De Lago and Fastnet Rock and a European influence which is becoming much more noticeable especially in the more tightly assessed races.

- The Select Sale is now a very strong sale in it's own right and should continue to be promoted strongly however the Festival Sale is no longer viable "tacked onto" the other two sales and a better fit now would seem to be around Auckland Cup time or even slightly later in the autumn.

- With father time conspiring against Zabeel and to a lesser degree Pentire, our industry needs to ensure that the momentum generated by the increased Australian demand for staying bred yearlings can continue to be capitalised on and this can only be achieved by upgrading our stallion ranks with the types of horses that our industry has become re-known for. The debuts next year by Nom Du Jeu and Sir Percy will sustain some of that appetite but continual replenishment is needed as the market place is a very harsh marker even for slower maturing staying types and some of our current crop of younger staying profiled stallions have all but exhausted their appeal to the Australian market.

- Courtesy of a spectacular run of winners leading up to Xmas and then over the New Year period, Savabeel emerged from the Select Sale as the only stallion to improve his average from 2010 ( $30,000 compared to $27,923).

I didn't spend a lot of time at Karaka this year so my viewing of horses on the sale complex was limited however I was lucky enough to get to a trainers and agents parade of the Central District studs over Xmas. Although severley handicapped by a stone bruise at that stage, Wellfield's Zabeel - Cold Shoulder filly could still just about out walk Robert Korzeniowski, reminding me a lot of her three-quarter brother Efficient.